San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The San Diego Padres (10-7) will open a 3-game series on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds (3-13). First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET at Great American Ballpark. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 3-0

After sweeping the Reds at home last week, the Padres dropped 2 of 3 to the Los Angeles Dodgers over the weekend.

The Reds ended their 11-game losing streak with a 4-1 win at home Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Padres at Reds projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. LHP Reiver Sanmartin

Musgrove (2-0, 1.89 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 0.74 WHIP, 0.5 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 19 IP.

  • Shut down the Reds offense in his last outing, holding them to 2 runs in 6 1/3 IP while striking out 7.
  • In 4 career appearances (3 starts) at Great American Ballpark, he  has allowed 11 ER in 17 IP (5.82 ERA), surrendering 5 HRs while  whiffing 16 batters.

Sanmartin (0-2, 7.11 ERA) makes his fourth appearance (third start). He has a 1.58 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 12 2/3 IP.

  • Padres batters knocked him around last week to the tune of 5 ER in 5 1/3 IP.
  • The sample is small, but he has really struggled to put right-handed hitters away. They have 66 career plate appearances against him, and he has struck out just 12% of those he’s faced.

Padres at Reds odds and lines

  • Money line (ML): Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Reds +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-103) | Reds +1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Padres at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Reds 2

Money line

The Reds have been slow out of the gate and are currently sporting the worst record in MLB, as well as the worst run differential at -41. Musgrove should hold them down again so back the PADRES -170.

Run line/Against the spread

Each of Cincinnati’s last 11 losses have been by multiple runs, and that is likely to be the case again Tuesday. The San Diego bats should again do some damage against Sanmartin and put this game away early. The best bet on the board is PADRES -1.5 (-103).

Over/Under

The Padres will score their fair share of runs in this one, but Musgrove is capable of completely shutting down a soft Cincinnati lineup. This one could go either way and it’s probably best to PASS and just load up on the run line.

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Author: Lucy Green