Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Pittsburgh Pirates (21-27) and Los Angeles Dodgers (33-16) close out a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium Wednesday. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Pittsburgh leads 4-1.

The Pirates have taken the first 2 games of this series and have now beaten the team with the 2nd-best record in baseball 4 times this season in 5 tries.  Pittsburgh is 4-2 with a 2.38 ERA across its last 6 road games.

The Dodgers have been held to 3 runs in 3 of their last 4 games, but they scored 6.0 runs per game on the strength of an .801 OPS in May.

Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Mitch White

Quintana (1-2, 2.15 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 46 IP.

  • Threw 6 scoreless innings against the Dodgers May 9.
  • Has allowed 2 ER or fewer in each of his last 7 starts.

White (1-0, 4.60 ERA) has makes his 3rd start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 15 2/3 IP.

  • Pitched 4 scoreless innings in his last outing Thursday at Arizona.
  • Wednesday will mark his seventh career start in 31 games.
  • Owns a 3.16 ERA in 25 2/3 career innings at Dodger Stadium.

Pirates at Dodgers odds and lines

  • Money line: Pirates +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Dodgers -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Pirates +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Pirates 3

Money line

Fading Quintana and his low 4.5% rate of home runs on fly balls and .265 batting average on balls in play. Would take L.A. money-line action at -235 or better, but I expect the juice to drown out that option.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates playing .438 ball may oversell the club’s talent level by a few clicks. The Dodgers’ 4-5 mark in 1-run games is underselling what they are.

Pittsburgh’s bullpen looks to be gettable in this warmed-up, breeze-blowing-out-to-right contest.

Los Angeles has won 14 games by 5 runs or more. Figure the DODGERS -1.5 (-120) as a solid play in the finale of this 3-game set.

Over/Under

Worth a line watch on some fade-Pittsburgh pitching energy. Would take the Over 8.5 at -120 or better PASS.

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Author: Lucy Green