Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Los Angeles Angels (38-46) meet the Baltimore Orioles (40-44) Friday for the 2nd of their 4-game series in Oriole Park at Camden Yards with the 1st pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Baltimore won Thursday’s series opener 4-1 and held L.A. sluggers Shohei Ohtani and Mike Trout to a combined 0-for-7. The Orioles are on a 5-game winning streak and 6-4 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

L.A. is just 4-6 SU in the last 10 and is 4th in the AL West, 17 games behind the Houston Astros.

The Orioles lead the season series with the Angels 3-1 and Baltimore has a plus-5 run differential in those meetings.

Angels at Orioles projected starters

LHP Reid Detmers vs. RHP Tyler Wells 

Detmers is 2-3 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 58 IP over 12 starts. He was optioned to the minor leagues but is filling in for an injured Angels SP Michael Lorenzen.

  • Last start: No-decision in L.A.’s 12-11 home loss to the Kansas City Royals June 21 with 5 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 6 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Orioles: One start, a 5-3 home loss April 22 with 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 4 K.

Wells is 7-4 with a 3.09 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 75 2/3 IP over 16 starts.

  • Last start: Won 3-1 Wednesday at the Minnesota Twins with 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 7 K.
  • Has 2-0 record with a 2.20 ERA in 6 home starts.

Angels at Orioles odds and lines

  • Money line (ML): Angels +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Orioles -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-180) | Orioles -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Angels at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Angels 3

Money line

BET ORIOLES (-140) to win 1 unit because they are 14-14 SU vs. left-handed starters and have a significant pitching edge over the Angels (+115) and the presumed sharp side of the market is backing Baltimore.

Detmers grades in the 34th percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, expected ERA, K%, exit velocity and chase rate according to Statcast while Wells grades in the 61st percentile or better in all of those metrics.

Also, Baltimore’s bullpen outranks L.A.’s in FIP (4.29-3.66), contact rate, swing-and-miss rates and home runs allowed per 9 innings (1.31-0.82), according to FanGraphs.

Finally, the public is split on this game but nearly three-fourths of the money is on the Orioles per Pregame.com. It appears that the professionals are staking Baltimore while the public is slightly intrigued by L.A.’s star power.

BET the ORIOLES (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the ORIOLES -1.5 (+145) since it’s a chunky payout, Baltimore is an MLB’s best 53-31 RL and 5-4 RL as favorites and the Angels +1.5 (-180) are 6-15 RL as road underdogs.

Over/Under

PASS because I have a stronger read on Baltimore’s ML and RL and the situational O/U trends don’t provide much of a clue.

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Author: Lucy Green