Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

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The NBA Finals head to Beantown Wednesday for Game 3 when the Golden State Warriors play the Boston Celtics. The series is tied 1-1. Tip-off at TD Garden is set for 9 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Celtics Game 3 odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State evened the series by stomping Boston 107-88 in Game 2 Sunday. The Warriors had their patent 3rd quarter onslaught, outscoring the Celtics 35-14 and Steph Curry erupted for a game-high 29 points (5-for-12 from behind the arc) with 6 rebounds, 4 assists and 3 steals.

Boston’s All-Star wings Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown struggled in the Bay Area, both shooting 37.5% or less from the field with Tatum averaging 20.5 points per game (PPG) and Brown putting up just 20.0 PPG.

These teams are tied 1-1 against the spread (ATS) in this series, have split the “four factors” and the total is 1-1 Over/Under (O/U).

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: 2022 NBA Finals Game 3 betting breakdown

Warriors at Celtics odds and lines

  • Money line: Warriors +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Celtics -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +3.5 (-110) | Celtics -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Warriors at Celtics key injuries

Celtics

  • C Robert Williams III (knee) questionable

Warriors

Warriors at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 113, Warriors 106

Money line

LEAN CELTICS (-160) only because I prefer to lay the points with Boston at a cheaper price.

However, the Celtics have avenged all six of their playoff losses this year with wins and have an average margin of victory of 15.5 PPG in those contests.

After all the hoopla in the media about the referees between Games 2 and 3, the Celtics should get more favorable officiating now that the series is back in Boston.

A few prominent Celtics sycophants in sports media were bemoaning Warriors PF Draymond Green‘s aggressiveness and intensity in Game 2. It wouldn’t be surprising for the officials to give Draymond an early technical foul to try and control the game.

Furthermore, Golden State struggled to stay out of foul trouble during the regular season and ranked 23rd in non-garbage time defensive free-throw rate, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

The Celtics attempted just 3 field goals at the rim in Game 2 and bricked a bunch of contested mid-range jumpers. Boston’s offense should attack the paint more and put pressure on the referees to make calls.

Boston also peed down its leg in Game 2 with an absurd 23.4% non-garbage time turnover rate (TOV%) compared to Golden State’s 10.4% TOV%. The Warriors outscored the Celtics 33-15 in points off of turnovers in Game 2.

Boston’s mistakes are very correctable but it’s only a LEAN to the CELTICS (-160) because their spread provides a better value.

Author: Lucy Green