Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

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The Denver Nuggets (1-3) visit the Chase Center Wednesday to take on the Golden State Warriors (3-1). Tip-off for the Western Conference first-round playoff game is 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Warriors lost for the first time in the series in Game 4, dropping the ball despite being tied late. F Draymond Green fouled out with minutes to go and Denver pulled away following a turnover on an out-of-bounds play.

The Warriors were one of two teams, Philadelphia the other, that couldn’t close out the series after going up 3-0. Denver won 126-121 as reigning MVP, and the current favorite for MVP, Nikola Jokic scored 37 points.

The difference for the Nuggets in Game 4 was that 3 other players went for 15 points or more. The Nuggets will need that help again if they hope to extend the series. Denver is 12-11 against the spread (ATS) as a road underdog.

Golden State has been incredible at home this season, ending with the second-best home record. The Warriors are 22-16-2 ATS as home favorite, the seventh-best covering rate in the league.

Nuggets at Warriors odds and lines

  • Money line: Nuggets +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Warriors -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +8.5 (-107) | Warriors -8.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Nuggets at Warriors key injuries

Nuggets

  • G Jamal Murray (knee) out
  • F Michael Porter Jr. (spine) out

Warriors

Nuggets at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 122, Nuggets 113

Money line

PASS.

The Warriors have championship DNA and should be able to close the series out, but betting on them with a -475 tag doesn’t make much sense. Only Denver at +340 has value, but I’d still pass there.

Author: Lucy Green