Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

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The 2022 NBA Finals start Thursday when the Golden State Warriors host the Boston Celtics for Game 1. Tip-off at Chase Center is set for 9 p.m. ET and the game airs on ABC. Below, we look at the Celtics vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Boston is appearing in its first NBA Finals since 2010 and the first of the Jayson Tatum-Jaylen Brown era. The Celtics eked past the Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals with a thrilling 100-96 win in Game 7.

This is Golden State’s 6th NBA Finals appearance in the last 8 seasons and the Warriors are hoping to win their 4th NBA title in the Steph Curry-Klay Thompson-Draymond Green era under coach Steve Kerr. Golden State beat the Dallas Mavericks in a “gentleman’s sweep” (4-1) in the Western Conference Finals.

The road team won both Celtics-Warriors meetings this season but Boston was 1-0-1 against the spread (ATS) and the total is 1-1 Over/Under (O/U).

The Celtics are the only team with a winning record against the Warriors in Kerr’s 8-year stint as Golden State’s coach. Boston is 9-7 straight up (SU) and 12-3-1 ATS vs. Golden State since 2014-15.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: 2022 NBA Finals betting preview

Celtics at Warriors odds and lines

  • Money line: Celtics +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Warriors -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Celtics +4.5 (-120) | Warriors -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Celtics at Warriors key injuries

Celtics

  • PF Robert Williams III (knee) questionable

Warriors

  • SF Andre Iguodala (back) questionable
  • SG Gary Payton II (elbow) questionable
  • SF Otto Porter Jr. (foot) questionable

Celtics at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 113, Celtics 105

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Warriors (-175) because most of the market is betting Golden State’s spread so I’m nervous Game 1’s final margin could be inside the number.

However, I expect the Warriors to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy at the end of this series because they get much better looks than the Celtics. Golden State has the 2nd-highest volume of layups for these playoffs whereas Boston has the 2nd-highest 3-point attempt rate.

The Celtics have settled for too many long, contested 2-pointers or 3-pointers while the Warriors exhaust all their options in possessions and get everyone on the floor involved.

If Golden State’s ML falls to -150 or lower then I’d take that instead of the Warriors laying points but PASS at this price.

Author: Lucy Green